Analysts: Hizbullah's Intervention in Syria Risks Regional Chaos

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The foray into Syria's civil war by Hizbullah has fuelled a Sunni-Shiite polarization that threatens to feed extremism on both sides and export the conflict to the wider region, analysts warn.

The Iran-backed Shiite movement has openly said it is fighting alongside President Bashar Assad's forces, while Shiite Iraqi fighters are also reported to be in Syria, supporting the regime against the mostly-Sunni rebels.

These interventions have prompted calls for a united Sunni stance against the Shiite groups involved, particularly Hizbullah.

Sunni-dominated Saudi Arabia's top cleric Abdulaziz al-Shaikh has urged governments to punish the "repulsive sectarian group" while Qatar-based Sunni cleric Yusuf al-Qaradawi called on Sunnis to join the rebels.

George Sabra, interim head of the opposition Syrian National Coalition, charged Hizbullah, along with majority-Shiite Iraq and Iran, of pushing the situation towards a "sectarian conflict".

"What we are fearing now is that the whole region could drown in a sectarian-fuelled conflict which in effect is a series of civil wars including Lebanon, Iraq, and of course Syria itself," says Salman Shaikh, director of the Brookings Doha Center.

Fighters from Hizbullah openly spearheaded a 17-day assault on the Syrian town of Qusayr near the Lebanese border which culminated on Wednesday with its recapture from the rebels by pro-government forces.

The battle for Qusayr further stoked the already-simmering sectarian tension across the region, the analysts say.

Assad's regime is dominated by members of the Alawite minority, an offshoot of Shiite Islam, while Sunnis make up the majority in Syria and the Muslim world.

Hizbullah's "association with the conflict on sectarian lines is creating tensions in Lebanon and in the wider Arab world," says Shaikh.

Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, whose Shiite government is facing a wide Sunni-led opposition, warned Sunday of "a storm passing through the region. It is a brutal sectarian storm."

Funerals were held in Iraq last month for men killed in Syria fighting alongside Assad's forces.

Emirati political science professor Abdulkhaleq Abdulla says that "the sectarian line-up has recently reached worrying levels."

Although a historical conflict, the Sunni-Shiite divide is "now different... because it has become based more on a political background than a religious one," says Abdulla.

Saudi Arabia, home to Islam's holiest sites, is seen the regional power protecting Sunnis while Iran has become a reference for all Shiites, he says.

Lebanese columnist Hazem Sagheye sees that the Syrian crisis "has morphed into a cross-border Sunni-Shiite line-up."

He argues that Damascus can stir trouble in surrounding countries through "holding cards" -- groups loyal to Assad's regime.

Lebanon officially adopted a position of neutrality towards Syria's conflict but its people are sharply divided with Shiites mostly backing Assad while most of the Sunnis support the rebellion.

Fighters from both sects have joined the battle on opposite sides.

This division is clearly reflected in frequent deadly clashes in Lebanon's second-largest city, Tripoli, between Sunni and Alawite gunmen. The army warned on Friday of a plot to embroil Lebanon in the 26-month Syrian conflict.

And while Sunni figures roundly condemned Hizbullah's involvement, news of the fall of Qusayr sparked celebrations in Beirut's southern suburb.

Reaction also came from the Gulf kingdom of Bahrain -- the scene of unrest between a Shiite opposition and the Sunni monarchy -- with the Shiite Unitary National Democratic Assembly issuing a congratulatory statement.

"What is scary is that the rise in sectarianism could once more ignite al-Qaida and extremism, posing a danger to the region," says prominent Saudi columnist Tariq Alhomayed.

And a decades-long standoff between Iran and Saudi Arabia appears now to be playing out by proxy in Syria, Yemen, Bahrain and Lebanon, where the rivals are supporting opposing political strands.

The Syrian opposition recently charged that the battle in their country has even attracted Shiite Zaidi rebels from Yemen to join the fight alongside Assad's troops. Zaidis have denied the claims.

But while Shiite armed groups fighting in Syria are openly backed by Iran, Sunni Islamist fighters trickle into Syria as individuals and mostly against the wish of their own states.

Saudi Arabia has repeatedly warned its citizens against taking part in the conflict.

Damascus' brutal repression of protests, in addition to Iran's full support to Assad and Hizbullah's intervention, have "emphasized the Sunni character of the other side," says Sagheye.

With the stirring of sectarian sentiment across the region and the mushrooming of armed extremist Sunni and Shiite groups, the region risks "a collapse of the concept of the state, with every group having its own media outlets and militias," warns Alhomayed.

"We are moving closer towards chaos in the Arab world."

Comments 20
Thumb superhabib 10 June 2013, 14:24

Bring it on.

Thumb Bandoul 10 June 2013, 14:53

...Animals! Party of God? Really?

Thumb superhabib 10 June 2013, 14:58

Hezbollah won't do that to Druze and Christians, don't be silly. This treatment is reserved for the Salafists.

Missing idris_gray 10 June 2013, 19:15

More "justice" courtesy of bashar's dogs:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P_fN6Un28Mc&bpctr=1370881778

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JuxQ-5PPaYo&bpctr=1370882547

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sve_sW8swTY

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jffUNQw8Fl8&bpctr=1370882712

Thumb Senescence 10 June 2013, 22:22

idis_gray and mcbeth007, I don't quite see what point is it you're trying to make besides the obvious. There are just as much videos depicting the brutality of rebel forces as there is depicting those by regime forces, perhaps rebels ever more so in actuality. So ... yeah, thanks for the videos. It stands moot.

Missing idris_gray 10 June 2013, 22:31

that's funny considering that the UN and every other neutral organization has said clearly that the regime's atrocities far outweigh those of the opposition

Thumb LebCynic 10 June 2013, 15:03

Why such an uproar for Shia helping Alawites? Why does no one have an issue with all the imported salafi/wahabi mercenaries that are fighting with FSA from day one? Extremist sunni's are the ones who hijacked the revolution from the Syrians and turned it into a sectarian civil war... Now that things haven't gone their way they are crying foul and blaming Hizballah for their intervention, Hizballah's intervention is a stratgic engagement that will ensure its survival along with President Bashar.

Thumb benzona 10 June 2013, 15:26

يا بهلول the Sunni are the majority and the oppressed just like in Saddam's day it was the opposite way around.

Thumb superhabib 10 June 2013, 16:26

Yes, that explains why the Syrian army is still 70% Sunni...

Missing idris_gray 10 June 2013, 18:53

70% before the revolution...many have since defected and many more still would if they have the chance

Thumb chrisrushlau 10 June 2013, 18:44

So if Lebanon has been warned, will it adopt majority rule and minority civil rights, as opposed to minority rule and warlord civil rights?

Thumb bashir 10 June 2013, 21:38

well stated and beyond dispute Phoenix, good post.

Thumb saturn 10 June 2013, 16:41

What's the big deal? A few Lebanese expatriate workers went to Qusair on a job, done it, on the way home now.

Thumb chrisrushlau 10 June 2013, 18:37

Is this the end of constitutional racism in Lebanon?

Thumb chrisrushlau 10 June 2013, 18:41

Look, Israel is based on sectarianism. That's what the word means: one arbitrarily defined group gets all the guns and money. It is inherently unstable, and it defies the concept of law. Expect it to not last. Anything can provoke an outbreak of reality in such a situation.

Missing idris_gray 10 June 2013, 18:51

You are just a liar John. The massive protests included people of all sects and walks of life that are against the regime. I personally know syrian christians who are to this day actively working against the regime. The Free Syrian Army is around 100,000 fighters who are mostly defected soldiers from the syrian army yet you want to only talk about foreigners. Not to mention the fact that there was no FSA, al nusra or any other fighters until months after the assad's dogs started shooting and torturing people. The word Islamist and Wahabbi and salafist are thrown around so easily these days, any sunni is considered one of these to your type.

Missing idris_gray 10 June 2013, 20:27

This might come as a surprise to you john, but I have friends of all religions and ethnicities. I live in America where we have people of every religion and nationality under the sun and for the most part we all get along fine. Not everybody lives in a bubble of sectarian hatred and paranoia like yourself. I'm sorry you want to turn this into a racial issue. I never denied that "persons of color" were historically oppressed. Yes, the Jews are doing fine NOW, but historically speaking, they were persecuted far more than any ARABS. I don't recall anybody ever trying to wipe the arabs from the face of the earth.

Missing idris_gray 11 June 2013, 04:17

And what to American jews or american indians or american blacks even have to do with this discussion? you are the one who is obsessed with jews and zionists and keep bringing them into the conversation...just because I said I have a syrian christian friend? Really your thinking is quite twisted. By the way, the fSA and al nusra etc are all people of color as well so maybe you should cut them a little slack, ok chief?

Default-user-icon Vozalio Pishpash (Guest) 11 June 2013, 01:58

Who's gonna fight? The cowards in Saudi Arabia or the cowards in Qatar or the cowards in Israel or the cowards in Lebanon who did not fight when fighting was necessary but instead decided to collaborate with the Syrian occupation and scheming against ebn baladon a la Dr. Arreet 7akeh and his followers Drs. Arteena Satleh? Who's left? The lunatics of the al-Qaeda International who got smothered in a matter of days? Oh, I know who will fight, the loud mouths on Naharnet that are known as the NostraDamsels. How did this slip my mind all along until this last sentence? You go, warriors NostraGeha, NostraHarrier, NostraAllouchti, NostraBenzona, NostraPeace, NostraMustafaO3amYeghliGhali, NostraGabbyMarch14 and last but not least, NostraPrimeSuspect.

Missing peace 11 June 2013, 11:38

hezbis do not care if protecting their weapons mean total war...if it means dragging the majority of innocent lebanese only aspiring to live in peace and decent life into war and deaths...
it is the common psychotic trait shared by all dictators throughout history, ready to burn one's own country to stay in power, nothing new under the sun of stupidity.....