U.S.-China Trade Talk Doubts Weigh Down Global Stocks
Stock markets on both sides of the Atlantic mostly softened Tuesday after a mixed session in Asia, with investors harboring growing doubts over the chances of success at U.S.-China trade talks, dealers said.
As China and the United States prepare to resume talks, "we have so far learned that China is willing to decrease its trade surplus with the U.S. by substantially increasing the amount of goods and services it purchases," said Hussein Sayed, chief market strategist at FXTM.
"This sounds like good progress, but it may not be enough to end the trade dispute," he said.
Key European stock indices, except Frankfurt, were down at the close, with London underperforming as HSBC's shares slumped on news that the banking titan suffered a tough fourth quarter because of trade war woes.
A survey showing that German investor confidence picked up in February gave Frankfurt stocks a minor lift.
The improved ZEW institute's economic expectations index suggested that "the pessimism will end, eventually," commented analysts at ING.
- 'Could be ugly' -
Wall Street was directionless in the late New York morning after market players returned to their desks following a long bank holiday weekend.
"Global markets have failed to gain any traction today, as news of further U.S.-China trade talks failed to inspire stocks," said IG analyst Joshua Mahony.
There was "growing disillusionment over the failure to make any significant breakthrough despite a ramp up in discussions," he said.
"However, with the top U.S. and Chinese negotiators lined up to meet once again on Thursday, there is still some hope that we will find a positive conclusion."
Oanda analyst Jeffrey Halley warned of trouble ahead if Chinese and U.S. officials failed to reach a deal.
"Without sounding like a damp squib, there is now a vast amount of 'optimism' baked into currency, stock and energy market prices globally and precisely zero concrete detail. The unwind, should no deal be struck, could be very ugly," he said.
In the meantime, investors will be looking to the release of Federal Reserve minutes Wednesday for clues to the direction of U.S. interest rates, but also the pace at which the Fed is likely to reduce its bond portfolio.
- Key figures around 1645 GMT -
London - FTSE 100: DOWN 0.6 percent at 7,179.17 points (close)
Frankfurt - DAX 30: UP 0.1 percent at 11,309.21 (close)
Paris - CAC 40: DOWN 0.2 percent at 5,160.52 (close)
EURO STOXX 50: DOWN 0.5 percent at 3,239.41
New York - FLAT at 25,894.41
Tokyo - Nikkei 225: UP 0.1 percent at 21,302.65 (close)
Hong Kong - Hang Seng: DOWN 0.4 percent at 28,228.13 (close)
Shanghai - Composite: UP 0.1 percent at 2,755.65 (close)
Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1331 from $1.1311 at 2200 GMT Monday
Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3038 from $1.2924
Dollar/yen: UP at 110.63 yen from 110.62 yen
Oil - Brent Crude: DOWN 45 cents at $65.05 per barrel
Oil - West Texas Intermediate: UP 13 cents at $56.11